DatabaseSafetyFederal vs state

Two regulators counted the same crashes. They disagree.

California requires collision reporting under one definition. The federal government requires it under another. Both cover the same vehicles in the same state over the same months — and the totals do not match.

California count
1,451
Collisions in the state's own filings, driverless deployment
Federal count
1,227
Crash reports filed with NHTSA for the same state and months
Difference
224
15.4% of the larger figure, which is the California count
Periods compared
16
Of 20 on file. 4 had only one regulator reporting and are left off the chart

The same months, counted twice

California filingFederal filing
Mar – May 20223 apartJun – Aug 202223 apartSep – Nov 202212 apartDec 2022 – Feb 202312 apartMar – May 202322 apartAug 20239 apartSep – Nov 202311 apartDec 2023 – Feb 20245 apartMar – May 202422 apartJun – Aug 202418 apart2025 Q115 apart2025 Q21 apart2025 Q355 apart2025 Q491 apart2026 Q1121 apart2026 Q2108 apartCaliforniaFederal — gap
Dumbbell comparison across 16 reporting periods. Mar – May 2022: California 17, federal 20; Jun – Aug 2022: California 3, federal 26; Sep – Nov 2022: California 0, federal 12; Dec 2022 – Feb 2023: California 2, federal 14; Mar – May 2023: California 3, federal 25; Aug 2023: California 0, federal 9; Sep – Nov 2023: California 15, federal 26; Dec 2023 – Feb 2024: California 13, federal 18; Mar – May 2024: California 27, federal 49; Jun – Aug 2024: California 55, federal 73; 2025 Q1: California 132, federal 147; 2025 Q2: California 163, federal 162; 2025 Q3: California 167, federal 112; 2025 Q4: California 266, federal 175; 2026 Q1: California 297, federal 176; 2026 Q2: California 291, federal 183.

This is not evidence that anyone under-reported: the two regimes define a reportable collision differently, and that difference accounts for most of the gap.

4 further periods are on file with only one of the two regulators reporting. They are left off the chart rather than drawn against a zero the other regulator never filed.

The earlier periods come from the state’s aggregate era, when a carrier filed one collision total for the period rather than one row per collision. It is the same quantity counted more coarsely, and nothing on this page divides it. Those periods run December to February, March to May, June to August and September to November, which is why they are labelled by month rather than by quarter: matching them to a calendar quarter would compare three months against a different three.

Why the two definitions differ

The California filing counts any collision involving an occupant, pedestrian, cyclist, motorcyclist, other vehicle, rail or property — including events during passenger pick-up and drop-off, and events off the public roadway.

The federal order applies to a narrower set of circumstances and to vehicles operating under automated control at the time. A collision can therefore be genuinely reportable in one system and genuinely not in the other, with nobody having done anything wrong.

What remains after those differences are accounted for is the part worth asking about — and it is smaller than the headline gap.